プロジェクト情報(概要) / Project information (abstract)
基本情報 / Basic Informations
- 研究題目
Research Title 長期間データと構造方程式モデリングを用いた洪水避難行動のメカニズムの検討
Examining mechanisms of flood evacuation behaviors using structural equation model with spatial and temporal scale data
- 状態
Status -
実施中
Started
- 研究番号
Research Number - 1510
- 研究代表者
PI - ツアオ ブクイェンアン / 東京大学生産技術研究所
- 事務担当者
Secretary - ツアオ ブクイェンアン / 東京大学生産技術研究所
- 受入CSIS教員
CSIS reception staff 中居 楓子
Fuko NAKAI
- 研究内容
Abstract Understanding evacuation behaviors is crucial in disaster risks reduction as empirical studies indicated that people who are expected to evacuate often do not and vice versa. There is limited understanding on the strengths and underlying mechanisms of predictors of evacuation behaviors as existing literature focused on the characteristics of who evacuate. Thus, this project aims to examine a hypothesized causal model to elucidate the mechanisms leading to evacuation intentions in various case studies with longitudinal data, using structural equation model with latent variables, questionnaire survey data in four case studies including Nagano, Da Nang, and Manila, and longitudinal data over two different periods of time (2025 – 2028). Such materials and methods can provide strong evidence for causal inference of the hypothesized model. This project will (1) examine the causal inference of the proposed model to quantify the effects of predictors on evacuation intentions, (2) test the model consistency for a broad ripple effect on academia and society to (3) provide valuable insights for future research direction and policy recommendations.
- 研究期間
Research Period - 2025-12-25 - 2026-03-31
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変更のために新しい申請を保存します。
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研究者 / Researchers
申請中の研究者は表示されません。 / Pending researchers are not shown.
ツアオ ブクイェンアン / 東京大学生産技術研究所
研究成果 / Achievement
年次報告一覧 / Annual reports 必須
年次報告の内容はメンバーのみ表示されます。